2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

The last Republican to win this state's electoral votes was fellow Southerner George W. Bush in 2004, and the last Republican to do so by double digits was the elder Bush in 1988. Formerly a Republican stronghold and a Southern state mostly in the Bible Belt, Democratic strength in the state has greatly increased over the last two decades and it is now considered a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. That is primarily due to the rapid growth and diversification of the Northern Virginia region, which includes some of the Washington metropolitan area's largest suburbs. The downstate metro areas of Hampton Roads and Greater Richmond are also major voting blocs for Democrats in Virginia. In 2020, Joe Biden won the state by just over 10 points, becoming the first presidential Democrat to do so by double digits since landslide victor FDR in 1944.

Despite its Democratic lean at the federal level, Virginia could be considered a secondary battleground state and may be targeted by the GOP in 2024, mainly due to the 2021 state elections where Republicans won every statewide office being contested.[1][2] Nonetheless, most analysts consider Democrats the favorites to hold the Old Dominion.[3] Some polls have labelled Virginia as a tossup state in the election cycle, and the GOP has placed a number of campaign offices throughout the Commonwealth in an attempt to continue recent momentum.

  1. ^ https://www.roanoke.edu/documents/rcpoll/RCPoll%20March%202023%20Topline.pdf
  2. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  3. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 21, 2024.

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