Early 1980s recession in the United States

Treasury yield spreads
Inverted yield curve in late 1970s and early 1980s
  30 year minus 3 month
  10 year minus 2 year
  10 year minus 3 month
  10 year minus Federal funds rate
US unemployment rate, 1973–1993

The United States entered recession in January 1980 and returned to growth six months later in July 1980.[1] Although recovery took hold, the unemployment rate remained unchanged through the start of a second recession in July 1981.[2] The downturn ended 16 months later, in November 1982.[1] The economy entered a strong recovery and experienced a lengthy expansion through 1990.[3]

Principal causes of the 1980 recession included contractionary monetary policy undertaken by the Federal Reserve to combat double digit inflation and residual effects of the energy crisis.[4] Manufacturing and construction failed to recover before more aggressive inflation reducing policy was adopted by the Federal Reserve in 1981, causing a second downturn.[2][4] Due to their proximity and compounded effects, they are commonly referred to as the early 1980s recession, an example of a W-shaped or "double dip" recession; it remains the most recent example of such a recession in the United States.[5]

The recession marked a shift in policy from more traditional Keynesian economics to the adoption of neoliberal economic policies. This change was primarily achieved through tax reform and stronger monetary policy on the part of the Federal Reserve, with the strong recovery and long, stable period of growth that followed increasing the popularity of both concepts in political and academic circles.

  1. ^ a b "United States Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions". National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved 8 April 2011.
  2. ^ a b Bednarzik, Robert W.; Hewson, Marillyn A.; Urquhart, Michael A. (1982). "The Employment Situation in 1981: New Recession Takes its Toll" (PDF). Monthly Labor Review. 105 (3). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–14. Retrieved 8 April 2011.
  3. ^ Gardner, Jennifer M. (1994). "The 1990-1991 Recession: How Bad Was the Labor Market?" (PDF). Monthly Labor Review. 117 (6). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–11. Retrieved 6 April 2011.
  4. ^ a b The Prospects for Economic Recovery (PDF). Congressional Budget Office (Report). February 1982. pp. 1–5. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2011-04-13. Retrieved 8 April 2011.
  5. ^ Aversa, Jeannine (2010-07-01). "A "Double Dip" Recession Defined". Huffpost Business. Archived from the original on 2012-04-26. Retrieved 8 April 2011.

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