Nuclear program of Iran

The IR-40 facility in Arak

Iran's nuclear program, one of the most scrutinized in the world, has sparked intense international concern. While Iran asserts that its nuclear ambitions are purely for civilian purposes, including energy production, the country historically pursued the secretive AMAD nuclear weapons project (paused in 2003 according to US intelligence). Both the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and analysts have warned that Iran's current uranium enrichment levels exceed what is necessary for peaceful purposes, reaching the highest known levels among countries without military nuclear programs. This has raised fears that Iran is moving closer to developing nuclear weapons, a prospect that has led to rising tensions, particularly with Israel, the United States, and European nations. The issue remains a critical flashpoint in the Middle East, with ongoing military and diplomatic confrontations. According to the New York Times in 2025, “If Iran is truly pursuing a nuclear weapon—which it officially denies—it is taking more time than any nuclear-armed nation in history.”[1]

Iran's nuclear program began in the 1950s under the Pahlavi dynasty with United States support. It expanded in the 1970s with plans for power reactors, paused after the 1979 Iranian Revolution, and resumed secretly during the 1980s Iran–Iraq War. Undeclared enrichment sites at Natanz and Arak were exposed in 2002, and Fordow, an underground fuel enrichment site, was revealed in 2009.

Iran's nuclear program has been a focal point of international scrutiny for decades. In 2003, Iran suspended its formal nuclear weapons program, and claims its program is for peaceful purposes only,[2] yet analysts and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have criticized such claims. As of May 2024 Iran was producing enriched uranium at 60% purity, and was accelerating its nuclear advancements by installing more advanced centrifuges. Estimates suggest that Iran could produce enough weapons-grade uranium for one nuclear bomb within a week and accumulate enough for seven within a month, raising fears that its breakout time has shortened drastically.[3] The destruction of Israel is frequently cited as one of several strategic objectives behind Iran's nuclear ambitions.[4] Concerns include nuclear proliferation, nuclear terrorism,[5] and increased support for terrorism and insurgency.[6]

In response to Iran's nuclear program, the international community imposed sanctions that severely impacted its economy, restricting its oil exports and limiting access to global financial systems.[7] Covert operations such as the Stuxnet cyberattack in 2010 sought to disrupt the program. In 2015, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was signed, imposing strict limitations on Iran's nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief.[8] In 2018, the United States withdrew from the agreement, leading to re-imposed sanctions.[9] Since then, Iran's nuclear program has expanded dramatically, with enriched uranium stockpiles exceeding JCPOA limits by tens of times, some nearing weapons-grade purity.[3] According to the IAEA, Iran is "the only non-nuclear-weapon state to produce such material".[10] The US and Iran have engaged in bilateral negotiations since April 2025, aiming to curb Iran's program for sanctions relief, though Iran's leaders have refused to stop enriching uranium.[11] In October 2023, an IAEA report estimated Iran had increased its uranium stockpile 22 times over the 2015 agreed JCPOA limit.[12] In the last months of the Biden administration, new intelligence persuaded US officials that Iran was exploring a gun-type fission weapon, a cruder design that could enable Iran to manufacture a nuclear weapon, undeliverable by missile, in a matter of months.[13][14][15][16]

On 12 June 2025, the IAEA found Iran non-compliant with its nuclear obligations for the first time in 20 years.[17][18] Iran retaliated by launching a new enrichment site and installing advanced centrifuges.[19] One day later, Israel, which is not a party to the Non-Proliferation Treaty and has an arsenal of nuclear weapons, launched coordinated strikes across Iran, targeting nuclear facilities and damaging Natanz and other sites.[20][21]

  1. ^ Sanger, David E. (22 June 2025). "Officials Concede They Don't Know the Fate of Iran's Uranium Stockpile". The New York Times. Retrieved 24 June 2025.
  2. ^ "No 'credible civilian' purpose for Iran uranium: UK, France, Germany". France 24. 17 December 2024. Retrieved 28 April 2025.
  3. ^ a b "Iran's new leaders stand at a nuclear precipice". The Economist. 20 May 2024. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  4. ^ Allin, Dana H.; Simon, Steven (2010). The sixth crisis: Iran, Israel, America, and the rumors of war. Oxford & New York: Oxford University Press. p. 24. ISBN 978-0-19-975449-6.
  5. ^ Wilner, Alex S. (1 January 2012). "Apocalypse Soon? Deterring Nuclear Iran and its Terrorist Proxies". Comparative Strategy. 31: 18–40. doi:10.1080/01495933.2012.647539. ISSN 0149-5933.
  6. ^ Freilich, Charles David (2018). Israeli National Security: a New Strategy for an Era of Change. New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 83–85. ISBN 978-0-19-060293-2.
  7. ^ "What Is the Iran Nuclear Deal?". Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved 28 April 2025.
  8. ^ "UN Security Council Resolutions on Iran". Arms Control Association. Archived from the original on 4 April 2025. Retrieved 28 April 2025.
  9. ^ "Read the Full Transcript of Trump's Speech on the Iran Nuclear Deal". The New York Times. 8 May 2018. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 28 April 2025.
  10. ^ "Iran has amassed even more near weapons-grade uranium, UN watchdog says". AP News. 31 May 2025. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  11. ^ Sanger, David E.; Fassihi, Farnaz (11 June 2025). "The Tough Choice Facing Trump in the Iran Nuclear Talks". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  12. ^ "Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium is 22 times above 2015 deal's limit, says IAEA". The Times of Israel. 16 November 2023. Retrieved 18 November 2023.
  13. ^ Sanger, David E.; Barnes, Julian E. (3 February 2025). "Iran Is Developing Plans for Faster, Cruder Weapon, U.S. Concludes". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 5 February 2025.
  14. ^ Velde, James Van de (11 March 2025). "Iran Nuke Debate Is Another Narrative Collapse". RealClearDefense. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  15. ^ "Iran's Nuclear Timetable: The Weapon Potential". Iran Watch. 28 March 2025. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  16. ^ Bryen, Stephen (4 February 2025). "Iran speeding up work on its nukes, two new reports say". Asia Times. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  17. ^ "UN nuclear watchdog finds Iran in non-compliance with its nuclear safeguards obligations". Euro News. Retrieved 12 June 2025.
  18. ^ Atomic watchdog says Iran not complying with nuclear safeguards , UN News, 12 June 2025.
  19. ^ Pleitgen, Mostafa Salem, Frederik (12 June 2025). "Iran threatens nuclear escalation after UN watchdog board finds it in breach of obligations". CNN. Retrieved 12 June 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  20. ^ Shotter, James; Sevastopulo, Demetri; England, Andrew; Bozorgmehr, Najmeh (13 June 2025). "Israel launches air strikes against Iran commanders and nuclear sites". Financial Times. Retrieved 13 June 2025.
  21. ^ Fassihi, Farnaz; Nauman, Qasim; Boxerman, Aaron; Kingsley, Patrick; Bergman, Ronen (13 June 2025). "Israel Strikes Iran's Nuclear Program, Killing Top Military Officials: Live Updates". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 13 June 2025.

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