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Alaska's at-large congressional district | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 32.2%[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Peltola: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Palin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Alaska |
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The 2022 Alaska at-large congressional district special election was held on August 16 to fill the seat left vacant after the death of Republican incumbent Don Young.[2] Mary Peltola defeated former governor Sarah Palin in the election, becoming the first Democrat to represent Alaska in the House since 1972, the first Alaska Native elected to Congress, and the first woman elected to represent Alaska in the House.[3]
The election was the first held after the passage of 2020 Alaska Measure 2, establishing a new procedure for elections. Under the new system, the top 4 candidates in a nonpartisan blanket primary advance to the general election. The general election is conducted using instant-runoff voting, a variant on traditional primaries where last-place candidates are repeatedly eliminated until only one candidate is left. Al Gross's withdrawal left only three names on the ballot in the general election.
The runoff count commenced on August 31, after all absentee and overseas ballots were counted.[4][5] Peltola was declared the winner on August 31.[6] The Democratic victory was widely considered an upset due to Alaska's strong Republican lean. Peltola became the first Democrat to win a statewide or congressional election in Alaska since Mark Begich in 2008.[7] She was sworn in to the House of Representatives on September 13.[8]
The election generated discussion on whether instant runoff voting produced a sufficiently representative result. Republican politicians criticized the fact that a majority of voters chose a Republican as their first choice and yet a Democrat won in the final round.[9] Social choice theorists from Cornell University produced an analysis arguing that Begich's elimination in the first round was an example of center-squeeze, in which a moderate with majority support is eliminated as a result of not having enough first choice votes.[10][11][12] In this case, Begich had a higher favorability rating than Peltola or Palin, but Palin played the role of spoiler by knocking Begich out of contention in the first round.[13]
Conversely, the election received praise from some pundits and those in favor of instant runoff voting for allowing voters to express their preference for the more moderate candidates regardless of their partisan affiliation, as evidenced by the fact that enough Begich voters crossed party lines to give Peltola a majority in the final round. Businessman and former presidential candidate Andrew Yang argued that the election served as a model for electing more moderate candidates to major offices.[14] FairVote, a lobbying group in favor of instant runoff voting, praised the results, arguing that the low rate of spoiled ballots indicated that Alaskan voters were capable of understanding the system and using it.[15]
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However, ranked-choice voting makes it more difficult to elect moderate candidates when the electorate is polarized. For example, in a three-person race, the moderate candidate may be preferred to each of the more extreme candidates by a majority of voters. However, voters with far-left and far-right views will rank the candidate in second place rather than in first place. Since ranked-choice voting counts only the number of first-choice votes (among the remaining candidates), the moderate candidate would be eliminated in the first round, leaving one of the extreme candidates to be declared the winner.
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