2024 United States presidential election in Florida

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.^[1]

Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a slightly to moderately red state. In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019^[2]) carried the state again by 3.36 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.^[3] Thus, Florida is widely expected to at least lean towards Republicans in 2024.^[4]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term.^[5]

On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state.^[6] That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination.^[7]

^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
^ Kelly, Caroline (November 1, 2019). "Trump ditches New York to become a Florida resident, court documents show | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
^ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
^ Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
^ "Florida Reform Party Works to Restore Party Status and Ballot Access After 2023 Revocation".
^ The Reform Party of the United States on X. (May 23, 2024). "Reform Party of the United States on X: "The Reform Party has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. @RobertKennedyJr for President of the United States and will hand him our automatic ballot access in the State of Florida as well as our advantages as a qualified party. We look forward to working with Mr. Kennedy."". X.com.

[1] Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.

[2] Kelly, Caroline (November 1, 2019). "Trump ditches New York to become a Florida resident, court documents show | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 29, 2024.

[3] Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.

[4] "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 22, 2024.

[5] Din, Benjamin (March 25, 2021). "Biden: 'My plan is to run for reelection' in 2024". Politico.com. Retrieved July 19, 2021.

[6] "Florida Reform Party Works to Restore Party Status and Ballot Access After 2023 Revocation".

[7] The Reform Party of the United States on X. (May 23, 2024). "Reform Party of the United States on X: "The Reform Party has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. @RobertKennedyJr for President of the United States and will hand him our automatic ballot access in the State of Florida as well as our advantages as a qualified party. We look forward to working with Mr. Kennedy."". X.com.

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