Causal model

Comparison of two competing causal models (DCM, GCM) used for interpretation of fMRI images[1]

In metaphysics, a causal model (or structural causal model) is a conceptual model that describes the causal mechanisms of a system. Several types of causal notation may be used in the development of a causal model. Causal models can improve study designs by providing clear rules for deciding which independent variables need to be included/controlled for.

They can allow some questions to be answered from existing observational data without the need for an interventional study such as a randomized controlled trial. Some interventional studies are inappropriate for ethical or practical reasons, meaning that without a causal model, some hypotheses cannot be tested.

Causal models can help with the question of external validity (whether results from one study apply to unstudied populations). Causal models can allow data from multiple studies to be merged (in certain circumstances) to answer questions that cannot be answered by any individual data set.

Causal models have found applications in signal processing, epidemiology and machine learning.[2]

  1. ^ Karl Friston (Feb 2009). "Causal Modelling and Brain Connectivity in Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging". PLOS Biology. 7 (2): e1000033. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000033. PMC 2642881. PMID 19226186.
  2. ^ Pearl 2009.

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