Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.[1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner.[2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012.[2] The month section in the tables represents the month in which the opinion poll was conducted. D represents the Democratic Party, and R represents the Republican Party. Third parties, such as the Dixiecrats and the Reform Party, were included in some polls.[3]
- ^ "Poll" in The Columbia Encyclopedia, 6th ed.' New York. Columbia University Press. 2012. OCLC 746941797[ISBN missing]
- ^ a b Shafer, Jack. "Opinion | Journalists Are Hooked on Polls and They'll Stay That Way". POLITICO. Retrieved November 19, 2021.
- ^ "Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936-2008". gallup.com. Gallup, Inc. Archived from the original on June 30, 2017. Retrieved August 30, 2012.
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