[[File:Population-growth-rate-2023-OWID.png|thumb|upright=1.4| first3=Edouard | last4=Gerber | first4=Marcel | last5=Ortiz-Ospina | first5=Esteban | last6=Hasell | first6=Joe | last7=Roser | first7=Max | title=Population Growth | journal=Our World in Data | date=11 July 2023 | url=https://ourworldindata.org/population-growth | access-date=26 January 2025 | page=}}</ref>
Population growth is the increase in the number of people in a population or dispersed group. The global population has grown from 1 billion in 1800 to 8.2 billion in 2025.[2] Actual global human population growth amounts to around 70 million annually, or 0.85% per year. As of 2024, The United Nations projects that global population will peak in the mid-2080s at around 10.3 billion. The UN's estimates have decreased strongly in recent years due to sharp declines in global birth rates.[3] Others have challenged many recent population projections as having underestimated population growth.[4]
The world human population has been growing since the end of the Black Death, around the year 1350.[5] A mix of technological advancement that improved agricultural productivity[6] and sanitation and medical advancement that reduced mortality increased population growth. In some geographies, this has slowed through the process called the demographic transition, where many nations with high standards of living have seen a significant slowing of population growth. This is in direct contrast with less developed contexts, where population growth is still happening.[7] Globally, the rate of population growth has declined from a peak of 2.2% per year in 1963.[8]
Population growth alongside increased consumption is a driver of environmental concerns, such as biodiversity loss and climate change,[9][10] due to overexploitation of natural resources for human development.[11] International policy focused on mitigating the impact of human population growth is concentrated in the Sustainable Development Goals which seeks to improve the standard of living globally while reducing the impact of society on the environment while advancing human well-being.[citation needed]
Years passed |
Year | Pop. (billions) |
---|---|---|
– | 1800 | 1 |
127 | 1927 | 2 |
33 | 1960 | 3 |
14 | 1974 | 4 |
13 | 1987 | 5 |
12 | 1999 | 6 |
12 | 2011 | 7 |
11 | 2022 | 8 |
12 | 2035* | 9 |
20 | 2055* | 10 |
35 | 2088* | 11 |
*World Population Prospects 2017 (United Nations Population Division) |
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was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
Driving these threats are the growing human population, which has doubled since 1970 to 7.6 billion, and consumption. (Per capita of use of materials is up 15% over the past 5 decades.)
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