Swing state

Summary of statewide results of the 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 presidential elections by state
  Won by the Republicans in all four elections
  Won by the Republicans in three of the four elections
  Won by each party twice in the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in three of the four elections
  Won by the Democrats in all four elections
Map of 20162020 Cook PVI for all voting entities in the 2024 United States presidential election (states, federal district, and congressional districts of Maine and Nebraska)

Map legend:
  State or district has a Cook PVI of D+10 or greater
  State or district has a Cook PVI between D+5 and D+10
  State or district has a Cook PVI between D+2 and D+5
  State or district has a Cook PVI between EVEN and D+2
  State or district has a Cook PVI between EVEN and R+2
  State or district has a Cook PVI between R+2 and R+5
  State or district has a Cook PVI between R+5 and R+10
  State or district has a Cook PVI of R+10 or greater

In United States politics, a swing state (also known as battleground state, toss-up state, or purple state) is any state that could reasonably be won by either the Democratic or Republican candidate in a statewide election, most often referring to presidential elections, by a swing in votes. These states are usually targeted by both major-party campaigns, especially in competitive elections.[1] Meanwhile, the states that regularly lean to a single party are known as "safe states" (or more specifically as "red states" and "blue states" depending on the partisan leaning), as it is generally assumed that one candidate has a base of support from which a sufficient share of the electorate can be drawn without significant investment or effort by the campaign. In the 2024 United States presidential election, seven states were widely considered to be the crucial swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[2][3]

Due to the winner-take-all method that most states use to determine their presidential electors, candidates often campaign only in competitive states, which is why a select group of states frequently receives a majority of the advertisements and candidate visits.[4] The battlegrounds may change in certain election cycles and may be reflected in overall polling, demographics, and the ideological appeal of the nominees.

  1. ^ Sabato, Larry J.; Kondik, Kyle; Skelley, Geoffrey (March 31, 2016). "The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. Center For Politics. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  2. ^ "Seven swing states set to decide the 2024 US election". November 2, 2024. Retrieved March 22, 2025.
  3. ^ "What are the current swing states, and how have they changed over time?". USAFacts. August 7, 2024. Retrieved March 22, 2025.
  4. ^ Beachler, Donald W.; Bergbower, Matthew L.; Cooper, Chris; Damore, David F.; van Doorn, Bas; Foreman, Sean D.; Gill, Rebecca; Hendriks, Henriët; Hoffmann, Donna (October 29, 2015). Schultz, David; Hecht, Stacey Hunter (eds.). Presidential Swing States: Why Only Ten Matter. Lexington Books. ISBN 9780739195246.

© MMXXIII Rich X Search. We shall prevail. All rights reserved. Rich X Search