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Social choice and electoral systems |
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The two-round system (TRS or 2RS), sometimes called ballotage, top-two runoff, or two-round plurality,[1] is a single-winner electoral system which aims to elect a member who has support of the majority of voters. The two-round system involves one or two rounds of choose-one voting, where the voter marks a single favorite candidate in each round. If no one has a majority of votes in the first round, the two candidates with the most votes in the first round move on to a second election (a second round of voting).[note 1] The two-round system is in the family of plurality voting systems that also includes single-round plurality (FPP). Like instant-runoff (ranked-choice) voting and first past the post, it elects one winner.[2][3]
The two-round system first emerged in France and has since become the most common single-winner electoral system worldwide.[1][4] Despite this, runoff-based rules like the two-round system and RCV have faced criticism from social choice theorists as a result of their susceptibility to center squeeze (a kind of spoiler effect favoring extremists) and the no-show paradox.[5][6][7] This has led to the rise of electoral reform movements which seek to replace the two-round system with other systems like rated voting, particularly in France.[7][8]
As well, TRS means voters sometimes have to gather to vote a second time, and sometimes the intervening period of time is rife with discord.[9]
In the United States, the first round is often called a jungle or top-two primary. Georgia, Louisiana, California, and Washington[note 2] use the two-round system for all non-presidential elections. Mississippi uses it for state offices.[10] Most other states use a partisan primary system that is often described as behaving like a two-round system in practice, with primaries narrowing down the field to two frontrunners.[11][12][13] (Alaska and Maine use the Instant-runoff voting system, the ranked-choice voting (RCV) system, which unlike TRS does not require multiple rounds of voting.)
However, squeezed by surrounding opponents, a centrist candidate may receive few first-place votes and be eliminated under Hare.
the 'squeeze effect' that tends to reduce Condorcet efficiency if the relative dispersion (RD) of candidates is low. This effect is particularly strong for the plurality, runoff, and Hare systems, for which the garnering of first-place votes in a large field is essential to winning
Finally, we should not discount the role of primaries. When we look at the range of countries with first-past-the-post (FPTP) elections (given no primaries), none with an assembly larger than Jamaica's (63) has a strict two-party system. These countries include the United Kingdom and Canada (where multiparty competition is in fact nationwide). Whether the U.S. should be called 'FPTP' itself is dubious, and not only because some states (e.g. Georgia) hold runoffs or use the alternative vote (e.g. Maine). Rather, the U.S. has an unusual two-round system in which the first round winnows the field. This usually is at the intraparty level, although sometimes it is without regard to party (e.g. in Alaska and California).
American elections become a two-round run-off system with a delay of several months between the rounds.
In effect, the primary system means that the USA has a two-round runoff system of elections.
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