2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

Nominee Joe Biden (presumptive) Donald Trump (presumptive) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Party Democratic Republican Natural Law Home state Delaware Florida California Running mate Kamala Harris (presumptive) TBA Nicole Shanahan

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

Elections in Michigan
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Ballot proposals 1996 Proposal E 2004 Proposal 04-2 2006 Proposal 06-2 2008 Proposal 1 2012 Proposal 1 Proposal 2 Proposal 3 Proposal 4 Proposal 5 Proposal 6 2015 Proposal 1 2018 Proposal 1 Proposal 2 Proposal 3 2020 Proposal 1 Proposal 2 2022 Proposal 1 Proposal 2 Proposal 3
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Grand Rapids Mayoral elections 2015 2019
Lansing Mayoral elections 2017 2021
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.^[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

A Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating all the way back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election. Today, Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019, and is expected to be a crucial swing state in 2024, with polls indicating a tight race and most news organizations marking the state as a tossup.^[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.^[3] If he wins the presidency without winning Michigan, he will be the first President to do so since Republican George W. Bush in 2004 and the first Democrat to do so since Jimmy Carter in 1976. If he loses the presidency but carries the state, he will be the first presidential candidate to do so since fellow Democrat John Kerry in 2004.

On April 18, 2024, Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot. He has also been nominated by the Natural Law Party.^[4]